Safaa Razouk*(1), Ghassan Yacoub(2) and Wael Habib(1)
(1). Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen University, Lattakia, Syria.
(2). Bouqa Agricultural Research Station, General Commission for Scientific and Agricultural Research, Latakia, Syria.
(*Correspondent: Safaa Razouk. E-mail: alshrookcenter@gmail.com Phone:0999610342 )
Received: 21/12/2023 Accepted: 26/02/2024
Abstract
The study was implemented in Latakia Governorate for the 2021-2022 season, and targeted a random sample of citrus growers of 380 farmers distributed among the citrus growing areas in this governorate. Data were collected using a field interview method according to a preliminary form prepared for this purpose with the aim of identifying the factors affecting risk in… Citrus cultivation, and included data related to production costs, production marketing methods, and technical characteristics of citrus farms, in addition to the economic and social characteristics of these farmers. The research used a descriptive and quantitative analysis methodology using the SPSS program. The results showed that there is a significant risk in citrus production. The percentage of farmers in the risk category in general was about 60.8%. About 28.2% of them were able to overcome these risks and achieved positive deviations in net income compared to the total sample, while 32.1% failed to overcome the risk and were exposed to negative deviations in income. Net resulting from citrus cultivation. The study recommended the necessity of adopting the most environmentally and economically efficient class structure to confront the risk, and reconsidering the class map and updating it to suit changing and emerging risks.
Key words: Risk analysis, Discriminating Analysis, Citrus production.
Full paper in Arabic: PDF