Faten Karaman*(1) , Saer. Barhoum(2) , Hussam Alahmad (3) and Lana. Alazrone(3)
(1). Agricultural engineer, Faculty of Science , University of Damascus. Syrian.
(2). Lecturer in the Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Damascus University, Syrian.
(3). Agricultural engineer, Ministry of Agriculture, Syrian.
(*Corresponding author: Faten Karaman, E-mail faten.karaman@gmail.com, Tel: 0940436143)
Received:22/12/2022 Accepted: 15/03/2023
Abstract:
The study used secondary data representing the number of dairy cows, their production, and the variables of government support in Syria during the period (2000-2019). The annual average of milk production amounted to 1382.9 thousand tons, and the percentage increased to 0.055%. The growth rate of the number of cows decreased by 0.82%, with an annual average of 991.1 thousand cows. The average spending at real prices on artificial insemination services was 49.3 million SP, while the percentage of spending for the base year was -4.6%. The average of loans to finance the purchase of dairy cows reached 88.2%, with the highest percentage reaching 0.078% in 2000 of the total loans. Its growth relative to the base year reached 36.8%, while the values of the coefficient of determination R2 showed weak prediction rates, and it is not possible to predict the number, production, and contribution of milk to the gross domestic product, and therefore the multiple linear regression model cannot be relied upon to predict the contribution of milk to the local production.
Keywords: agricultural economy, dairy cows, agricultural policies, government support, fiscal policies.
Full paper in Arabic: pdf