Zeinab Hasso ^{* (1)}, Maher Yousef ⁽¹⁾ and Nerouz Ferdawi ⁽¹⁾

(1). Dept. of economic, Faculty of Agriculture, Aleppo University, Aleppo, Syria.

(*Corresponding author: Eng. Zeinab Hasso. E-Mail: zeinabhasso1992@gmail.com).

Received    21 / 12 / 2020               Accepted    24/02/2021                         

Abstract

The aim of the research is to analyze the risk in the layer Poultry Farms of eggs in the governorate Aleppo, using the uncertainty (CE) method through the estimation of the functions of each breeder of the layer poultry breeders in the studied governorate, and use the coefficient pratt to see the desire of the producer towards risk, and use multiple linear regression model to analyze the relationship between the risk factor (dependent factory), and some of the socio-economic characteristics of the farms (independent factors). Search adopted in the implementation of the initial data for a sample of Poultry egg were chosen in a manner stratified random sample, and the volume of the sample (16) breeders. The results of that analysis (43.76%,31.25%,25%), educators were neutral towards risk, do not want to risk, they want to risk, based on that, all the breeders were taken, in order to estimate the benefit function and risk factor for each breeder the results of applying the multiple linear regression model that the experience factors and the number of birds positively affect the risk factor, and the number of individuals and the area of domesticated animals negatively affect the risk and affect the dependent factors Y of (78%), and (22%) of the effect is due to other factors has not been studied.

Keywords: Egg Producers -Social Characteristics -Economic Characteristics -The Risk -Aleppo Governorate.

Full paper in Arabic: pdf