{"id":5307,"date":"2021-12-24T23:37:00","date_gmt":"2021-12-24T21:37:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/?p=5307"},"modified":"2021-12-24T23:37:00","modified_gmt":"2021-12-24T21:37:00","slug":"%d8%a7%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%ae%d8%af%d8%a7%d9%85-%d8%b3%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b3%d9%84-arima-%d9%88%d8%aa%d9%82%d9%86%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%80%d9%80-pca-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%aa%d9%86%d8%a8%d8%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/?p=5307","title":{"rendered":"\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 ARIMA \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0640\u0640 PCA \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0636\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u062c\u0627\u0633\u0645<\/strong> <sup>(1)<\/sup><strong> <sup>*<\/sup><\/strong> <strong>\u0648\u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0637\u0627\u0647\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0646 <\/strong><sup>(2)<\/sup> <strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>(1) \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u062f\u0645\u0634\u0642\u060c \u0633\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p>(2) \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u062d\u0644\u0628\u060c \u062d\u0644\u0628 \u060c \u0633\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p>(*\u0644\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0644\u0629: \u062f\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u062c\u0627\u0633\u0645. \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: <u>(<\/u><u>e_sam_0 @hotmail.com<\/u><\/p>\n<p>\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0645: 2020\/05\/16\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644: 2020\/05\/31<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u062e\u0635<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u060c \u0645\u0646 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\u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0627 \u060c\u0644\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 (1970-2018)\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c (ARIMA(5,2,0 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0636\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2021 \u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a<strong>%<\/strong> 85.3 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u0631\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0644 \u0648<strong>%<\/strong> 88.3\u00a0 \u0644\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629. \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0647\u0648: <strong>(<\/strong>ARIMA(1,1,0 \u0627\u0639\u0637\u0649 \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627<strong>%<\/strong> 92.7 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u0631\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0644 \u0648<strong>%<\/strong> 94.2 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u0631\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0627\u062d\u064a\u0629<\/strong>: \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0648\u0646\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624\u060c \u0628\u0648\u0643\u0633 \u062c\u064a\u0646\u0643\u064a\u0646\u0632.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0644\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/v86p14.pdf\"><strong> pdf<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u062c\u0627\u0633\u0645 (1) * \u0648\u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0637\u0627\u0647\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0646 (2) \u00a0 (1) \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u062f\u0645\u0634\u0642\u060c \u0633\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629. (2) \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u062d\u0644\u0628\u060c \u062d\u0644\u0628 \u060c \u0633\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629. (*\u0644\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0644\u0629: \u062f\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u062c\u0627\u0633\u0645. \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: (e_sam_0 @hotmail.com \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0645: 2020\/05\/16\u00a0 \u00a0 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/?p=5307\">\u0623\u0643\u0645\u0644 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u0629 <span class=\"meta-nav\">&larr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-1"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5307","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5307"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5307\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5311,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5307\/revisions\/5311"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}