{"id":2923,"date":"2021-01-17T17:03:05","date_gmt":"2021-01-17T17:03:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=2923"},"modified":"2021-01-17T17:03:06","modified_gmt":"2021-01-17T17:03:06","slug":"general-trending-and-forecasting-of-climate-in-homs-meteo-station","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=2923","title":{"rendered":"General Trending and Forecasting of Climate in Homs Meteo Station"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Eissa Nofal<sup>(*<\/sup><\/strong><strong><sup>1<\/sup><\/strong><strong><sup>)<\/sup><\/strong><strong>&nbsp;&nbsp; Maan Daud<sup>(<\/sup><\/strong><strong><sup>1)<\/sup><\/strong><strong>&nbsp;Boshra khozam<sup>(<\/sup><\/strong><strong><sup>1)<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(1). General Commission for scientific Agricultural\nResearch, Syria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(*Corrsponding\nauthor: Eisaa Noafal . E-Mail: issa.mh.nofal@gmail.com). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Received: 05\/08\/2019 &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Accepted: 07\/09\/2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Abstract <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:0\"><\/p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The FORCACT function was used to confirm the\nequation also the result was identical. There was a negative correlation\nbetween dry temperature and precipitation, and dry years exceeded 53.3% but the\nwet years was 46.6% of the observed years. A prediction equation was found for\nthe quantities of precipitation based on the observed years which was y = &#8211;\n0.1862x + 368.24. The forecasting for the year 2025 was 360.79 mm \/ year and\ntherefore the annual rate decreased by 4.688 mm compared with the base years.\nThe forecasting equation matched with the cumulative difference values method\nin calculating the annual rainfall in 2025 where the equation was: y = &#8211; 0.1862\nx + 2.8863. Herein, the average of precipitation was 360,843, which is 4.617 mm\nlower than the average compared with the base years. When the equation of\nprecipitation prediction was derived by applying the three-year moving average\nmethod, the resulted equation was: y = &#8211; 0.0984 x + 366.91 and when tested with\nDATA ANALYSIS and MOVING AVEREG the annual average reached 362.9 mm \/ year in\n2025, this means a decrease in the quantity of precipitation of 2.56. mm \/ year\ncompared with the observed years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Keywords:<\/strong> Temperature, Precipitation, Forecasting, Regression equation, Moving averages, Homs meteo station.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> Full paper in Arabic:&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/wp-content\/uploads\/V7n6P12.pdf\">PDF<\/a><\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Eissa Nofal(*1)&nbsp;&nbsp; Maan Daud(1)&nbsp;Boshra khozam(1) (1). General Commission for scientific Agricultural Research, Syria. (*Corrsponding author: Eisaa Noafal . E-Mail: issa.mh.nofal@gmail.com). Received: 05\/08\/2019 &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Accepted: 07\/09\/2019 Abstract The FORCACT function was used to confirm the equation also the result was identical. &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=2923\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sjar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2923","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2923"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2923\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2926,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2923\/revisions\/2926"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2923"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2923"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2923"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}