{"id":2674,"date":"2020-08-31T12:57:49","date_gmt":"2020-08-31T12:57:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=2674"},"modified":"2020-08-31T12:57:50","modified_gmt":"2020-08-31T12:57:50","slug":"using-arima-models-in-forecasting-for-economic-variables-%e2%80%8eof-maize-in-egypt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=2674","title":{"rendered":"Using ARIMA Models in Forecasting for Economic Variables \u200eof Maize in Egypt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Moataz Eliw\nMostafa Ahmed<sup>*(1)<\/sup> and Mohamed. A. Elsamie<\/strong><strong> Abd Elsayed<sup>(1)<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(1). Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture,\nAl-Azhar University, Assuit, Egypt.<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(*Corresponding Author: Moataz Eliw Mostafa Ahmed. E-mail: moatazeliw@azhar.edu.eg)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Received: 03\/04\/2020&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Accepted: 23\/06\/2020<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Abstract<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Egypt suffers from insufficient domestic production\nfor domestic consumption of maize. Estimation of future needs of this crop is\none of essential tools that may help in setting plans to reduce the gap and\nminimize the financial burdens resulting from importing Maize. The research\naimed mainly to predict the economic variables of the maize in Egypt through\nARIMA models. The results showed that the Egyptian production of Maize in 2020,\n2021 and 2022 is expected to reach 6.427 million tons, while the Egyptian\nconsumption of the crop in the same years is expected to reach 12.168 million\ntons. Thus, the apparent gap of maize in Egypt will be about 5.741 million\ntons. Therefore, the value of Egyptian imports of this crop is expected to be\nabout 1.097, 1.089, and $ 1.084 million in 2020, 2021 and 2022, respectively.\nThe research recommended establishing a database on the future status of maize\nin Egypt that helps decision-makers in drawing up various incentive policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Keywords:<\/strong> Maize, ARIMA Models, Production, Consumption, Egypt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/sjar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/v7n4p9.pdf\">Full paper in Arabic: PDF<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Moataz Eliw Mostafa Ahmed*(1) and Mohamed. A. Elsamie Abd Elsayed(1) (1). Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Al-Azhar University, Assuit, Egypt. (*Corresponding Author: Moataz Eliw Mostafa Ahmed. E-mail: moatazeliw@azhar.edu.eg) Received: 03\/04\/2020&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Accepted: 23\/06\/2020 Abstract Egypt suffers from &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=2674\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2674","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sjar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2674","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2674"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2674\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2675,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2674\/revisions\/2675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2674"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2674"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2674"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}