{"id":11739,"date":"2026-10-30T11:55:47","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T11:55:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=11739"},"modified":"2026-10-30T11:57:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T11:57:34","slug":"a-standard-analysis-of-the-relationship-between-agricultural-exports-and-agricultural-domestic-output-in-syria-for-the-period-1990-2023-as-a-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=11739","title":{"rendered":"A Standard Analysis of the Relationship Between Agricultural Exports and Agricultural Domestic Output in Syria for the Period (1990-2023) as a Model"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>Ramy Mahmoud*<sup>1<\/sup>, Mahmoud Alio<sup>1<\/sup> and Georges Makhoul<sup>2<\/sup><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen University, Syria.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">2 Department of economics and planning, Faculty of economics, Tishreen University, Syria.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">(*Corresponding author: Researcher Ramy Mahmoud, Email: <a href=\"mailto:ramymah92@gmail.com\">ramymah92@gmail.com<\/a>).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Received: 6\/04 \/2026\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Accepted: 1\/07 \/2026 <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', Times; font-size: 17px;\"><strong>Abstract:\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', Times; font-size: 17px;\">This study investigated analyzing the relationship between agricultural exports and agricultural domestic output in Syria during the period 1990-2023 using a standard methodology based on unit root tests (ADF), vector Autoregression (VAR) models, and impulse response function analysis.The results showed no cointegration or long-term equilibrium relationship between the two variables the relationship is temporary rather than structural. This is because Syria exports surplus production and lacks a specialized export sector. On the other hand, the dynamic analysis revealed the presence of a strong and positive short-term interaction, where positive shocks in agricultural output led to an increase in exports. Also, a shock in exports temporarily stimulates agricultural output.These results indicate the fragility of the relationship between output and export, and the study recommends enhancing agricultural productivity, diversifying export markets, and developing export-related infrastructure to meet the quality and phytosanitary requirements of global markets in order to transform this short-term relationship into a sustainable, structural one.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>Keywords:<\/strong> Syria, agricultural exports, agricultural domestic output, joint integration<strong>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">\u00a0Full paper in Arabic: <a href=\"http:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/wp-content\/uploads\/v13n5p6.pdf\">PDF<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ramy Mahmoud*1, Mahmoud Alio1 and Georges Makhoul2 1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen University, Syria. 2 Department of economics and planning, Faculty of economics, Tishreen University, Syria. (*Corresponding author: Researcher Ramy Mahmoud, Email: ramymah92@gmail.com). Received: 6\/04 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=11739\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sjar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11739"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11739\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11751,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11739\/revisions\/11751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}