{"id":10357,"date":"2025-12-28T06:35:52","date_gmt":"2025-12-28T06:35:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=10357"},"modified":"2025-12-28T06:40:37","modified_gmt":"2025-12-28T06:40:37","slug":"the-changing-risk-of-forest-fires-in-the-qardaha-region-on-the-syrian-coast-during-the-period-2000-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=10357","title":{"rendered":"The changing risk of forest fires in the Qardaha region on the Syrian coast during the period 2000-2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>Micheal Skaf<sup>(1)<\/sup> , Roze Al Koubaily<sup>(1)<\/sup> \u00a0and Eghaa Zaher<sup>* (3)<\/sup><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">(1). Forestry and Environment Department, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen University, Lattakia, Syria.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">(*Corresponding author: Eng. Eghraa Saleh Zaher. E-mail: <a href=\"mailto:eghraazaher@gmail.com\">eghraazaher@gmail.com<\/a>, phone : 0991781935).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Received:\u00a0 22\/02\/2024\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Accepted:11\/07\/2024<\/span><\/p>\n<span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', Times; font-size: 17px;\"><strong>Abstract:\u00a0<\/strong><\/span>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman', Times; font-size: 17px;\">Forest fires are one of the most important disturbances that threaten the sustainability of forest ecosystems, and their danger increases year after year in various regions of the world in light of current climate changes. The daily values \u200b\u200bof precipitation amounts, average temperatures, and relative air humidity for the Qardaha station, located in one of the most important forest areas in the coastal region of Syria, were used to estimate the risk of forest fires using Teliycn index during the years extending between 2000 and 2020. Box-Plots and descriptive statistical analysis were used to study the climatic characteristics of the study area. In order to determine the direction of change and estimate its value, trend lines were used, and the significance of the change was verified using the Mann-Kendall test. The results showed great variation in the start date of the risk of forest fires, the length of the fire season and the degree of danger between years depending on the differences in the amounts and distributions of precipitation and the level of temperatures. The results also showed increasing tendency of fire danger in the region. The highest value of the Teliycn index increased by 25.7, and the length of the fire season increased by about 22 days, while the trend was clear towards an early onset of fire danger by about 7 days during the study period 2000-2020. These results emphasize the importance of current climate changes in increasing the risk of forest fires in the study area, which requires taking appropriate measures to confront this danger that threatens forest ecosystems in the region.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>Keywords<\/strong>: forest fires forest &#8211; \ufb02ammability &#8211; fire danger index &#8211; drought index &#8211; Climate change and forest fire -Syria. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Full paper in Arabic:<a href=\"http:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/wp-content\/uploads\/v12n6p4.pdf\"> PDF<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Micheal Skaf(1) , Roze Al Koubaily(1) \u00a0and Eghaa Zaher* (3) (1). Forestry and Environment Department, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Tishreen University, Lattakia, Syria. (*Corresponding author: Eng. Eghraa Saleh Zaher. E-mail: eghraazaher@gmail.com, phone : 0991781935). Received:\u00a0 22\/02\/2024\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Accepted:11\/07\/2024 Abstract:\u00a0 Forest fires &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/?p=10357\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sjar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10357"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10357\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10362,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10357\/revisions\/10362"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/agri-research-journal.net\/SjarEn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}